Profit / Loss for April 2016

Profit	Loss
128.22	87.47
Total	40.75

Saturday 30th April

Newmarket and Goodwood races covered for Saturday

Good Luck

Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00*	Emerald	9th 12/1	Examiner	2nd 20/1	demonstration	14th 22/1	14
14:30	Take cover	5th 11/1	Move in time	10th 16/1	Lancelot Du Lac	21st 16/1	21
15:05	Exosphere	1st 14/1			Restorer	4th 66/1	6
15:45	Air Vice Marshall	4th 40/1	Galileo Gold	1st 14/1	Kentuckyconnection	5th 200/1	13
16:20			Take the Helm	7th 25/1	Agueroo	8th 28/1	10
16:55	Tathqeef	6th 6/1	Percy Street	7th 40/1			8
17:30	Brave Hero	8th 9/2					8
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 4.75	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 9.75	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 5	Profit 9.5
Goodwood	Good
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:45	Shalambar	11th 25/1	Royal Battalion	8th 16/1			14
14:15	California	7th 9/1	Twitch	3rd 25/1	Monaleen	8th 100/1	13
14:50	Solar Flair	5th 8/1			Sirius Prospect	6th 28/1	15
15:25	Harry Hurricane	2nd 8/1			Waseem Farris	3rd 14/1	9
16:00	Volunteer Point	4th 11/2					7
16:35*			Pheonix Beat	6th 16/1			9
17:10			Goldenfield	1st 14/1	Gabster	5th 20/1	14
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3.5	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 11.37	0.5 pt e/w	loss 0.75	Profit 7.12

Friday 29th April

Selections cover Chepstow for today

 

Karam Albaari 6th of 7
Jersey Jewel last of 6
Kenobe Star 7 of 13
Steel City Boy  7 of 8
Knight Commander 7 of 10
Bushwise 1st profit 21.62
Aaman 5 of 9
Fuzzy Logic 2nd of 8 profit 1.12
Profit 16.74

WEDNESDAY 27th April

Cheltenham

2 e/w selections

Divine Intervention  7th of 10 @ 16/1

Goodnight Vienna  5th of 12 @ 5/4f

Punchestown

Roads to Riches -Fell

Loss 3

Tuesday April 26th

4 selections for Tuesday

 Brighton 

2:20 Norphin 8th of 11@ 66/1

16:40 Port liage 4th of 7 @ 7/1

 Lingfield

4:35 investment  5th of 14 @ 25/1

6:15 honeymoon cocktail NR

Loss 3

Sunday 24th April

Bit of a minefield today for a betting perspective with so many returning after a break and the unknowns of how fit they are, or not!
Still hope to find a winner or two at Musselburgh

Musselburgh	Good - good to firm
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00*	Amazement	2nd 11/4					6
14:30	Star of Spring	7th 13/2	Maureb	4th 6/1			9
15:00	Bahemian C	6th 8/1	Freight Train	7th 9/1			9
15:30	Sinakar	3rd 11/2	Pass Muster	4th 11/1	Ellerina	10th 33/1	12
16:00					Thornton Lady	WD 12/1	8
16:30	Rubis	5th 15/2					8
17:00	Roys Legacy	3rd 15/2	Compton Ri8ver	4th 6/1			9
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 6	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 11

Saturday April 23rd

Sandown and Haydock covered for Saturday also 2 selections for the scoop6 races at Ripon

Sandown	Good - good to firm
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:20			Deebaj	8th 40/1			11
14:55					Third Intention	3rd 12/1	7
15:35			Ulck Du Lin	6th 55/1			6
16:10	Measureofmydreams	12th 12/1	Dynaste	9th 28/1	Saint Are	10th 28/1	20
16:45			Silsol	2nd 14/1			7
17:20	Viva Steve	5th 8/1	Gentleman Jon	F 20/1			11
17:55	Gold Present	13th 25/1			Chartbreaker	WD 25/1	20
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2.75	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Loss 7.75
Haydock	Good - good to firm
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:40*					Question of faith	8th 28/1	9
14:10	Bertie Whittle	4th 14/1	Majestic Moon	13th 16/1			13
14:45*					Florenza	12th 20/1	12
15:20			Afonso De Sousa	14th 25/1	Complicit	10th 28/1	16
15:55			Kingthistle	7th 14/1			9
16:30	Janaab	5th 7/1			Baltic Prince	12th 12/1	12
17:05			Illustrious Prince	NR 12/1			11
17:40	Squire	4th 7/1	Mysterial	14th 33/1			15
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	Loss 11
Ripon	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:40	Grumeti	7th 8/1					14
15:50	Avon Breeze	1st 16/1					16
		Profit 10					Profit 10

Friday 22nd April

3 selections sent to members on Friday left a selection of  2 with one becoming a non runner

Resulting in 1 point profit.

Pretty annoyed with myself today after trying to keep selections to a minimum and non runners ruining e/w plays!

Just the 2 selections for Friday whilst my form is on a low

Occasionally yours - plumpton 17.50 currently 12/1   3rd of 8 

Kalian - Chepstow 17:35 9/1    6th of 11

for e/w singles and a quick fire e/w double

Best long shot of the day Parlour Maid Chepstow 16:30  NR 

might be a decent e/w treble if they all perform and are ridden as expected, either way its going to be either a 3 point loss or a decent return for one of the 3

Thursday 21st April

Something a little different for Thursday rather then covering every race for one or two courses, a few selections from 7 races around the country.

A frustrating day to say the least trying to keep selections to a minimum lost out on 4 nig priced winners and non runners meant those that came 3rd were not paid out for a place leaving only 7 runners in the race :-/

Perth	Good
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
15:00	Tap Night	5th 14/1					7
16:30			Molten Brown	3rd 33/1			8
Warwick
16:10	Arbeo	3rd 16/1					10
Exeter
17:30	Admiral Blake	NR 10/1					13
18:30			Superman De La Rue	10th 14/1			18
20:00	Pyleigh Brae	7th 20/1			Robin Longstride	13th 66/1	14
Market Rasen
18:20	Quinto	4th 11/2
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 4	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 1

Wednesday 20th April

Epsom races covered for Wednesday tricky races with so many returning from long breaks but lets see how they do.

Epsom	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00					Crosse Fire	6th 16/1	8
14:30			Virens Army	3rd 11/1			9
15:05	Agent Gibbs	8th 8/1					13
15:40			Archangel Raphael	6th 25/1	Slowfoot	11th 25/1	11
16:15	Najd	2nd 11/1					5
16:50			Machine Learner	3rd7/1			8
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 0.12	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1.62	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Loss 3.74

Tuesday 19th April

Due to having a run of 2 losing days time to tread carefully just 2 selections were sent out to members

Latarta Kempton 3pm  - 5th of  11

Valadom Kempton 4pm - 4th of   13

Total loss 2 points

Monday 18th April

Races covered at Huntingdon for Monday

Huntingdon	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
17:05			Bannys Lad	7th 7/1			9
17:40	Lapala	4th 5/2			Heighnow	13th 100/1	13
18:10			Kayfton pete	9th 16/1			18
18:40			Golanova	4th 10/1			8
19:10			Seymour Eric	NR 11/1			10
19:40	Halcyon Days	9TH 11/2					9
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 3	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 6

Sunday 17th April

Todays covers races for Wincanton

Ayr	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:55	Antiphony	2nd 7/4					8
14:25			Catch a Thief	8th 40/1	Yenston	UR 66/1	9
14:55			Miss Tenacious	7th 12/1			10
15:30	Titch Strider	9th 20/1	Aka Doun	6th 12/1	Garde Fou	11th 16/1	13
16:05					Sarah Marie	4th 14/1	8
16:40			Comical Red	PU 25/1			6
17:10*					Speedalong	8th 25/1	11
17:40*			Burton Boru	7th 14/1			11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	Loss 1

Saturday 16th April

Races for Ayr and Bangor on Dee

Todays best bet of the day is De Faiothesdream at 3.35  1st Advised at 22/1

Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:50	Smooth Stepper	4th 6/1					7
14:25			Le Mercurey	1st 9/1			5
15:00	Sternrubin	9th 8/1	Ifbutandwhynot	13th 20/1	Zamdy Man	10th 33/1	13
15:35	De Faoithesdream	1st 22/1	Ubaltique	5th 12/1			7
16:10	Alvarado	2nd 25/1	Tour Des Champs	PU 33/1	Millborough & Milansbar	7th / 9th 33/1	29
16:45			Zeroshadesofgrey	9th 16/1			11
17:20			Oh Land Abloom	4th 11/1			8
17:50*			Jimmy Breekie	2nd 14/1			10
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 16.37	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 3.87	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 3	Profit 17.24
Bangor on Dee	Heavy
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:15	Beware the Bear	1st 11/10					3
14:45	Lost in newyork	7th 5/1					9
15:20	Detour Ahead	5th 16/1					10
15:55					Sunny Legend	PU 12/1	6
16:30	Obistar	3rd 6/1					7
17:05	Globalisation	2nd 6/4					4
17:35*	Our Dancing Dandy	1st 3/1					6
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 0.1	0.5 pt e/w		0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	loss 0.9

Friday 15th April

Ayr racing covered for Friday

Ayr	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00	Welsh Shadow	1st 8/13					3
14:35	Craiganboy	PU 13/2	Rock A Doodle Doo	7th 11/1			9
15:10			Tradewinds	7th 12/1	Timons Tiara	5th 14/1	9
15:45	Double Shuffle	5th 11/4					7
16:15	Morning Royalty	3rd 11/4					5
16:45	Run ructions Run	6th 13/2			Golden Sparkle	2nd 40/1	9
17:15	Quel Elite	6th 11/1			Wicklow Gold	PU 33/1	11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3.62	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 3.5	Loss 2.12

Wednesday 13th April

Just a few for Newmarket today

Newmarket	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:10							13
14:45							9
15:20					Hillside Dream	5th 66/1	5
15:55							6
16:30	Calling Out	9th 16/1	Battle of Marathon	5th 14/1			11
17:05	Amazing Red	6th 16/1					11
17:40					Crosse Fire	NR 33/1	11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 4

Tuesday April 12th

Mainly a day for watching and taking note but a few at Newmarket have caught the eye at over priced odds.

Newmarket	Good
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:10							14
14:45							8
15:20			Yeeoow	3rd 14/1			14
15:55							5
16:30			Fourth Way	8th 20/1	Yeah Baby Yeah	10th 100/1	13
17:05							11
17:40	Juste Pour Nous	NR 9/1			Cartago	NR 12/1	8
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	0	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 2.5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Profit 1.5

Monday April 11th

Kelso covered for Monday

Kelso	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:10	Grexit	6th 11/2					11
14:40	Uno Valoroso	5th 6/1					6
15:10	Senor Alco	3rd 28/1			S for Estruary	UR 12/1	11
15:40					Chicago Outfit	PU 16/1	9
16:10	Maggie Blue	2nd 12/1	Always Tipsy	5th 16/1	Snapping Turtle	7th 20/1	14
16:40			Kalastar	7th 10/1	Moscow Menace	9th 25/1	12
17:10					Kumbeshwar	3rd 16/1	11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 4	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2.5	Loss 0.5

Sunday 10th April

Races covered today at FFos Las and Market Rasen

Ffos Las	Soft - Heavy
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00*	Eminent Poet	2nd 9/1			Thirty Bob	PU 66/1	8
14:30	Petit Ecuyer	2nd 7/1					6
15:05	Filatore	1st 7/2					4
15:40	Take the Mick	5th 15/2			Allez Vic	3rd 14/1	7
16:15	Handsupfordetroit	5th 4/1					7
16:45	Forgivienne	5th 8/1					6
17:15	Alice Pink	1st 6/1					3
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 9.75	0.5 pt e/w		0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Profit 7.75
Market Rasen	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:15*			Trooper Royale	7th 80/1			13
14:45*			Butney Island	8th 13/2	Hey Bill	5th 20/1	9
15:20	Sir Pitt	4th 6/1					4
15:55			Western Jo	2nd 16/1			5
16:30	Wolf Shield	8th 22/1			Max Milano	9th 40/1	12
17:00	Cowards Close	PU 5/1	Red Admirable	3rd 6/1			6
17:30*	Bally Gilbert	2nd 2/1					7
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 4	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1.5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Loss 7.5

Aintree April 9th

Aintree	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:45	Arpege D'alene	9/1	Silsol	3rd 25/1			19
14:25	Yorkhill	1st 3/10	Flying Angel	3rd 11/1			6
15:00	Douvan	1st 2/11	BallyBolley	4th 66/1			5
15:40	Thistle Crack	1st 1/4			Prince of Scars	3rd 16/1	6
16:20	Roc D'Apsis	7/1			Al Co	3rd 20/1	14
17:15	Wonderful Charm	13th 50/1	Buywise	12th 40/1	Hadrians Approach	F 66/1	39
18:10	Madfuninthewest	15th 14/1	Sir Chauvelin	8th 25/1	Nabucco	9th 25/1	19
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3.27	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 0.38	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 4.65

Aintree April 9th Grand National

THE GRAND NATIONAL APRIL 9^th 2016

For the last four years I’ve miraculously managed to select the tri-cast it will be a fete if I can achieve that for a 5^th year running, it’s a tough one this year with more unknowns and question marks than usual (in my opinion ) there’s also stables that should be firing but as of yet are not!

I’ll provide as always my opinion for each of the runners in the race, and select my best 5 or 6 or potentially 4 will know for certain after going through the runners, you don’t have to choose my shortlist selections you might see something in one of my write ups for a horse that draws you to back it.

If I don’t manage the tri cast I hope to at least get the winner good luck and most of all let’s hope all the horses and jockeys get home safely.

1, Many Clouds last year’s winner who impressed me so much with his performance that same day I backed him to win again this year at 40/1 ……Now to bear in mind this race takes a lot out of a horse so much so they rarely win another race let alone win the National again, so far he’s won again and won well we know he has the stamina the weight won’t be a problem neither will the ground! The interesting thing to note is he also has an entry on the 16^th for the Scottish National however much I would love to see him win again I’ve a feeling his races so far and this one are prep races for the Scottish National, chances he deserves every chance to be in the top 5.

2, Silviniaco Conti Is a class horse my opinion is he’s a 3 miler and nothing more his trainer will bang on and have you believe he has the stamina yet whenever he’s raced further than 3m1f he’s faded he might be classy but this is not a race for him even though he loves Aintree and has won or placed every time he’s ran here his stamina is a big question mark! Nicholls has 6 runners in the race others make more appeal.

3, First Lieutenant Course not a problem will have needed the run last time out when pulled up, finished 16^th in this race last year and not getting any younger has placed off a mark of 159 Mouse has his horses in top form and getting some decent winners lately, still stamina is an issue here and one to be ignored in my opinion.

4, Wonderful Charm Not races since December 2015 runs well fresh having won and placed after a break, his last race 26f entered him a place in my notebook as he was staying on well when finishing 2^nd, I’d give him a better chance of staying the trip then his stablemate Siviniaco Conti, two runs at the course finished 3^rd on both runs was plugging on and kept on towards finish says he wants a further trip, only 8 so age against him on trends however could be an outsider to consider with firms paying 5 or 6 places at current odds of 50/1

5, Ballynagour second behind Conti in the Betfred last year, course, jockey and ground in favour however a big question mark over the trip not likely to be in the top finishers.

6, O’Faolains Boy 3 miler this trips to far raced once at course in 2014 finished 5^th behind Holywell 25f weakened and tailed off, not in form given last 3 runs odds should be bigger can see him being PU in this.

7, Gilgamboa Tricky one this as Bolger has ran 3 here two have won and the other placed which gives a 100% strike rate, on the other hand the jockey has ridden in 5 Nationals and never even placed with a 0% strike rate so the jockey choice is a bit puzzling to say the least! Trainers in form having onthefringe win the other day, given the horses young age, and lack of experience also his form shows he prefers soft or heavy I’d say this is a test of the horses stamina, interesting! one to watch.

8, On His Own I love this horse and if I backed him it would be a case of a heart over head bet, he’s ran twice previously in this and fell on both occasions once at bechers brook and the following year at valentines, avoided being entered into races here for the last two years probably due to the falls however horses don’t forget and that absence could be due to a confidence issue round here, best performances on heavy ground hoping he gets round safe and ends up PU rather than Fall.

9, The Druids Nephew Stamina, ground, jockey all a big plus was going really well here last year when falling in the closing stages, the downside is that could put him off wanting to race here however if the fall here last year doesn’t bother him he could well be in the frame and one to consider, however a few point’s to consider those that finish in the top 6 very rarely finish in the places in the same race the following year. And those that finish way down the field one year can improve and be in the places the following year! (Puzzling huh)

10, Triolo D’Alene One of two runners for Nicky Pulled up last year and can see the same again this year one to avoid.

11, Rocky Creek Another for Nicholls (anyone would think he wants to win having six entries) finished 5^th in 2014 it was a hard race which took a lot out of him he only managed to finish 17^th in 2015, can’t see him being in the top finishers.

12, Sir Des Champs Very Classy horse has won on soft, heavy & Good. Won over 3m 1f he’s never been tried at further distance than that also never ridden at the course.  ?’s over stamina and course and not been up to scratch the last few races.

13, Hollywell Jonjo’s yards in fine form and he runs two in the race this one is in good form lately and loves the course and better ground if he stays he should be there or there abouts.

14, Shutthefrontdoor The second of Jonjo’s runners his last couple of runs have been a bit off (I think I heard something about an abscess on his hoof? Although I could be wrong) he was 5^th in this last year tailing off when getting tired it’s that? Does he really have no stamina or will he improve? risky selection but hard to ignore his stables at the minute.

15, Soll 7^th in 2013 and 9^th 2015 another horse I like a lot and wish he had the stamina just can’t see it given previous performances over long distances.

16, Buywise Runs well after a break and placed at the course, always looks like he wants a longer trip when racing never showed tiredness or tailed off always plugging on and gutsy wouldn’t be surprised if he finished in the places jockey has a great strike rate round here.

17, Boston Bob Classy horse who has won here however on all form I can’t see him staying the trip.

18, Aachen Horse very hit and miss on form appears to have no stamina generally weakens and unknown at the course one to avoid.

19, Morning Assembly Lost 3^rd closing stages at Cheltenham last month over 3m 1f I’d say he does not have the stamina to see this race out, also unraced at Aintree.

20, Double Ross Loves Cheltenham, Hates Aintree and won’t stay why is he even in this race?

21, Goonyella Won the midlands national last year on soft went on to get 2^nd in the Scottish national on good ground a month later, gutsy and an all and out stayer can’t see the trip being a problem at all, has been campaigned for this jockey gets on well with the horse, the 2 races he’s had at Aintree form is not great which is a concern but on stamina has to be in the mix.

22, Ucello Conti Decent enough horse but too inexperienced for this it’s a big ask IMO all wins / places have been on soft or heavy, one for the future maybe,

23, Unioniste Class horse again but can’t see him staying the trip he will lead and burn himself out.

24, Le Reve There seems to be a lot of 8 year olds entered this year maybe the trainers are in competition and have something to prove by saying many clouds not the only 8 year old good enough to win? I really like this horse has placed 3^rd over 29f good to soft unknown at the course and probably one to keep note of for the future.

25, Gallant Oscar A lot of ?’s over him too many to be confident enough to have him as a selection.

26, Onenightinvienna One of two 7 year olds in the race this the only reason I can see why he’s been entered is to suss out his stamina and jumping ability, I’d be amazed if he made it round.

27, The Last Samuri Another I like and classy but not for this race, it’s too big a test he will improve in time if he has the stamina to stay a mile further than he’s ever raced before.

28, Kruzhlinin Can be a messy jumper was 10^th in this two years ago and not shown enough of an improvement to have him in selections.

29, Rule The World Wants soft or Heavy the muddier the better for this horse although has placed on good to soft and good, 2^nd in the Irish grand national last year if he takes to the course could well be in the mix.

30, Just A Par Certainly has the ability if he can stay was 2^nd behind Many Clouds in 2015 at Exeter 19f hvy going has ran well on most goings so ground should suit whatever the going, placed once out of 3 races here, the 2 of those races where was unplaced he was in the handicappers grip! Back down in the weights has placed off a mark of 147 one to consider.

31, Katenko No stamina always weakens in 3 mile races will have to have improved massively on anything show so far to be in contention.

32, Vics Canvas 2^nd behind Just a Par over 29f at Sandown last April stamina should not be a problem, never placed off a mark higher than 142 so off 147 has some work to do to be involved others make more appeal.

33, Black Thunder Interesting Jockey booking who has a decent record around here and in this race, should stay out the trip but his jumping ability generally lets him down so one I will be leaving alone.

34, Ballycasey was BD in this last year can’t go wrong with Katie Walsh on his back trip a big? Needs to improve and what he’s shown so far to be competitive.

35, Hadrians Approach A trainer / Jockey combination made in heaven, stamina no issue an unlucky horse who always tends to run into trouble and tends to get out paced, I respect the horse massively and its interesting Nicky thinks enough of him to enter him, if he gets a clear run and sorts his jumping out could throw up a big priced surprise.

36, Vieux Lion Rouge The third Pipe horse and the second 7 year old in the race, unknown at the course didn’t stay over 31f at Cheltenham last month and can see this being too tough a task for an inexperienced youngster.

37, Pendra Weakened on run in over 25f last time out although does run well fresh based on what he’s shown so far can’t see him staying out the trip.

38, Saint Are This horse oozes class he’s a proper gutsy little thing who’s small size often see’s him get out of trouble and slip through the tightest of gaps, was 2^nd here last year the ground, course distance will not be an issue like Many Clouds he’s shown decent form since that battle of a race winning the veterans with style back in February, will he be able to do another 4.2 mile I’d like to think so but could be a trip to far to reproduce last year’s second, fit enough and could sneak into a place.

39, Home Farm No course form and nothing he’s shown so far gives him a chance of being in the places one to avoid

40, The Romford Pele Another horse I admire jockey is 0 from 5 rides here which is a massive shame as given another jockey on his back he would have made it to my could have a chance selections given he was 3^rd behind Thistlecrack back in January and is a horse that keeps on when others are tiring, jockey will have learnt a few things from his rides around here and could well put that to good use and sneak into the places.

So there you have it my thoughts on all the runners so who’s made it to my final selections… Buywise is one without a doubt

Wonderful Charm is definitely another

Just A Par gets into the shortlist

Now the hard part do I forgive Goonyella’s poor runs at the course and give him a chance on stamina over the extra trip! I think it would be too risky to leave him out of the tri cast line up given his stamina

Do I give Gilgamboa’s jockey’s 0% strike rate the benefit of the doubt and hope he’s learned a few lessons given the trainers 100% strike rate in this…… I’m going to leave him out of the tri cast line up but I would say there are firms paying 6 places and a few pound e/w could see a return for a place.

Saint Are makes it to the tri cast list and I’m tempted to put in Holywell given Jonjo’s yard being in top form out of his two runners Hollywell is the one who has the best form of the two.

Reverse Tri cast over the following 6

Buywise

Wonderful Charm

Just a Par

Saint Are

The Druids Nephew

Goonyella

Ok so what about Many Clouds you are all shouting I know!! I would love to see him in the mix but it’s a big BUT if he can do what RedRum did all those years ago, he’s classy enough yet given the stats I’m going to leave him out and back him on the 16^th instead.  However if you really like him you don’t have to use my selections you can swap one of my 6 and slot him in.

Good Luck and bring it on.

Aintree 8th April

Aintree day two and a fair few big priced fancies for Friday.

Aintree	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:40	Box Office	10th 25/1			Theinval	9th 20/1	22
14:15			Marracudja	PU 50/1	Altruism	UR 100/1	11
14:50	Native River	1st 15/2					8
15:25			God's Own	1st 16/1	Clarcam	3rd 50/1	6
16:05	Mr Moonshine	9th 22/1	Distime	4th 50/1	Corrin Wood & Gullinbursti	PU / F 50/1	30
16:40	vintage clouds	PU 14/1			sandymount duke	NR 33/1	16
17:15*					Rodney the trotter	11th 40/1	18
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 2.69	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 15.75	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 6	Profit 12.44

Thursday 6th April

Aintree day one of the festival

Aintree	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:40	Bouvreuil	4th 9/1			Volnay De Thaix	5th 18/1	8
14:15			Azzuri	3rd 25/1			9
14:50	Don Poli	2nd 3/1	Dynaste	4th 40/1			9
15:25	The New One	F 10/1					6
16:05	Mendip Express	3rd 12/1	Dineur	2nd 100/1	Ockey De Neulliac	8th 50/1	23
16:40			Katachenko	1st 12/1	Croco Bay	5th 20/1	13
17:15	la bague au roi	7TH 3/1	Theatre territory	11th 14/1			18
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 5	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 23.12	0.5 pt e/w	loss 3	Profit 15.12

Wednesday 6th April

Lingfield covered for Wednesday

Lingfield	Standard AW
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:10	Fairy Pools	4th 8/1					8
14:40	Orlando Rogue	NR 13/2					6
15:10					Belle of Seville	3rd 40/1	4
15:40	Cosmic Halo	3rd 7/2					6
16:15	Winged Dancer	6th 12/1					6
16:45	Skidby Mill	2nd 5/1					4
17:15	Caladonia Laird	3rd 7/1					11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3.5	0.5 pt e/w		0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 4.5

Tuesday April 5th

Ludlow is the course covered for Tuesday with precautionary inspections at Newton Abbott and Pontefract

Ludlow	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:15*			Haut Bages	5th 16/1			16
14:50	Alberobello	4th 10/1					11
15:25	Brise Vendeenne	PU 9/4			Sahara Haze	5th 14/1	10
16:00			Swift Arrow	PU 33/1			8
16:35	Tanarpino	1st 8/1			Arcamante	9th 66/1	11
17:05			Neverownup	F 10/1			9
17:40	Ascendant	7th 9/1					11
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 2.38	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 3	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Loss 2.62

Monday April 4th

Covering Lingfield and Wincaton for Monday, lot of newbie races small stakes advised for these, good for spotting future talent to keep as nag me alerts.

Lingfield	Standard AW
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:20*			Decadent Times	2nd 10/1			10
14:50	II Sassicaia	3rd 9/4					5
15:20			Mary Beale	6th 12/1			8
15:50	Force of Destiny	1st 3/1	Moojaned	7th 12/1			7
16:20	Diamond Lady	2nd 13/2					7
16:50			Daring Knight	8th 10/1			8
17:20	Turnbury	1st 12/1					8
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 11.81	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2.25	0.5 pt e/w		Profit 9.56
Wincanton	Good - Good to soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:10	Ziggerson Hill	3rd 20/1					6
14:40	Batavir	3rd 5/1			Byron Blue	9th 33/1	10
15:10	Ballinvarig	2nd 11/4					7
15:40	Rafafie	4th 8/1	Rustamabad	NR 16/1			11
16:10	Headspin	2nd 7/1					6
16:40	Crannaghmore Boy	PU 12/1					5
17:10*			G For Ginger	2nd 12/1			9
17:40*			Brunel Woods	2nd 16/1			9
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Loss 3.5	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 2.5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Loss 2

Sunday April 3rd

Doncaster and Ascot races covered for today

Doncaster	Soft - Hvy in places
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
13:50	Boots and Spurs	8th 8/1	Purple Rock	10th 18/1			17
14:20*					Brendan	7th 28/1	9
14:55*	General Alexander	2nd 3/1					9
15:30			Ocean Sheridan	3rd 22/1	Deauville Prince	16th 28/1	17
16:05	Sandro Botticelli	1st 12/1					5
16:40					Robinnielly	3rd 15/2	5
17:15	treasury notes	6th 11/4	All my love	3rd 20/1	Peak Storm	14th 40/1	15
17:45	Scrafton	8th 16/1	Nam Hai	6th 20/1			10
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 4.5	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 4.25	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	Profit 4.75
Ascot	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00	Dark Flame	1st 10/1	Tango Unchained	PU 100/1	Norman the red	F 50/1	13
14:35	Impulsive American	6th 12/1					9
15:10	Veauce De Sivola	3rd 33/1					3
15:45	Orbasa	2nd 5/2	Purple 'n Gold	3rd 8/1			6
16:20	Grandads Horse	11th 15/2	Mon Parrin	2nd 20/1	Loch Ba	5th 22/1	14
16:55			The Tourard Man	6th 16/1	Ballyheigue Bay	12th 33/1	16
17:30*					Rumbrey Grey	PU 40/1	6
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 3.25	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	Loss 1.75

Saturday April 2nd

Doncaster, Newbury and Uttoxeter races all covered for Saturday

The Flat is back :) not that I don't love NH because I do

Newbury	Good to Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:00*			Baraymi	8th 33/1			15
14:35	Amidon	6th 8/1					8
15:05					Headly's Bridge	5th 20/1	7
15:40	Surtee Du Berlais	10th 11/2			Kentford Myth	9th 40/1	13
16:15			Deebaj	5th 16/1			10
16:50	Ultragold	1st 5/2			Cappielow Park	PU 14/1	8
17:25			Reilly's Minor	5th 14/1	Clondaw Westie	11th 25/1	15
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 1.5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 3	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 4	Loss 5.5
Doncaster	Soft
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:15	Azraff	17th 8/1	Solo Hunter	4th 40/1			21
14:45	Beach Bar	12th 28/1	Farlow	8th 20/1	Stipulate	17th 33/1	22
15:20	Mobsta	1st 16/1	Marsh Hawk	10th 16/1			13
15:55			Master Carpenter	4th 16/1			6
16:30*	the last lion	1st 7/4					13
17:05*			Dream Factory	9th 33/1			11
17:40	Rioja Day	9th 33/1			Beaumonts Party	11th 14/1	17
18:10	Aneedah	11th 12/1					17
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 9.75	0.5 pt e/w	Profit 1.5	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	Profit 9.25
Uttoxeter	Heavy
Time	1st Choice	Result	E/w Selection	Result	Longshot	Result	Runners
14:05					Herecomes love	6th 80/1	8
14:40			Garde Ville	6th 12/1			11
15:10	Ballywilliam	1st 5/1					7
15:45	Oscar Sunset	F evs					3
16:20	Bryden Boy	PU 6/1	Hollywood Allstar	5th 14/1			9
16:55	Ratify	1st 10/1					9
17:30*	OMG Western Bunny	4th					4
1pt level stakes	1 pt win 5/1 or below	Profit 9.25	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 2	0.5 pt e/w	Loss 1	Profit 6.25